Opponents to Gov. Gavin Newsom’s $6.4 billion plan to build mental health treatment beds and housing today conceded that his ballot measure is likely to pass.
“We almost took down the bear, but it looks like we will fall short,” the opposition campaign said in a written statement. “Today, as the principal opponents of Proposition 1, we concede that it is almost certain to pass.”
Proposition 1 is a two-part ballot initiative. It includes a bond to build treatment facilities and permanent supportive housing for people with mental health and addiction challenges. It also proposes changes to a longstanding tax on personal incomes over $1 million, known as the Mental Health Services Act, by requiring counties to spend 30% of that revenue on housing instead of other services.
As of 9:30 a.m. Tuesday with about 5.8 million votes counted, the measure is leading by a margin of 50.4% to 49.6%.
Newsom has previously said Prop. 1 will help California fulfill a decades long promise to get “people off the streets, out of tents and into treatment.”
The Yes on Prop. 1 campaign amassed a nearly $21 million war chest for the ballot measure, drawing support from law enforcement groups, major health care organizations and the mental health advocacy group NAMI California.
In contrast, the opposition campaign raised very little money. Opponents are led by clients of mental health services and some small mental health agencies who worry their programs could lose funding if the measure passes. Others, including the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association, opposed the measure because of its cost.
Jon Coupal, executive director of the Howard Jarvis Taxpayer Association,…
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